Unofficial results show that the ruling Cambodian People’s Party (CPP) won 1,163 communes and the opposition Cambodian National Rescue Party (CNRP) 482 in last weekends local body elections.
That’s a substantial victory.
However, consider that the opposition held just 40 communes in 2012.
From 40 to 482: that is a lot of wins.
However, the CPP won the popular vote with 51.4% to the CNRP’s 44.2%
But, 44% is much higher than that gained by the opposition in 2012. (30.6%)
However, the CNRP predicted they would gain 60% of all votes cast.
That was a bad political move as, despite the massive increase in support, it doesn’t look like victory.
Hun Sen will be mildly happy I suspect. The opposition not especially distraught.
Call it a draw.
And all to play for in the national elections, next year.
Expect things to get nasty.
Expect Hun Sen to repeat his calls of upcoming Civil War should he be defeated.